Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.121051 0.182303 0.253680 0.340491 0.441066 0.552117 0.682342
2025-12-07 0.041604 0.107697 0.202836 0.334890 0.502722 0.700866 0.945556
2025-12-14 0.011029 0.065170 0.164544 0.318896 0.528482 0.786686 1.115341
2025-12-21 0.003092 0.051906 0.162340 0.347001 0.607521 0.935897 1.360397
2025-12-28 0.000289 0.042543 0.162155 0.375059 0.684471 1.081132 1.599655
2026-01-04 NaN 0.031890 0.154954 0.389878 0.741897 1.200808 1.807199
2026-01-11 NaN 0.029111 0.162889 0.428030 0.831474 1.361735 2.066025
2026-01-18 NaN 0.024660 0.165012 0.455836 0.906104 1.503269 2.300894
2026-01-25 NaN 0.016665 0.153835 0.459311 0.944845 1.597383 2.476100
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006470 0.125389 0.427937 0.930059 1.619137 2.558754
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000803 0.095526 0.387292 0.897484 1.614481 2.605778
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.081458 0.374456 0.905480 1.663359 2.720370
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.077171 0.383342 0.950121 1.766191 2.909963
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.067703 0.378820 0.973025 1.839426 3.062165
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.054424 0.361352 0.972861 1.879160 3.169495
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.059228 0.391464 1.052679 2.032249 3.426599
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063912 0.421327 1.132211 2.185115 3.683663
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.063479 0.437096 1.187909 2.304262 3.896387
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071933 0.477596 1.285820 2.483664 4.189083
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.076385 0.507056 1.365062 2.636664 4.447079
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.071613 0.510734 1.400435 2.727319 4.622745
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.055102 0.477499 1.371155 2.724868 4.674444
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.037926 0.434344 1.321423 2.691074 4.682950